Confusing elections revalidate the coalition government
The victory of candidates opposed to govern with the MTS in the elections to Censor and in the islands of Oleria and Aquilonia does not prevent Portia Marsyas from returning to govern in coalition with the MTS
Consul Portia Marsyas arriving to meeting with the leadership of the MTS after the elections
Surprising. It is the word that political analysts use to describe the results of the last elections in Selucia, which have produced a political landscape more divided than ever.
After five years of a coalition government between the pagans of the MTS and the leftist COSIRA, a government that no one was betting would last an entire legislature, these elections have shown the strengths and weaknesses of each party, but have also yielded confusing data that analysts politicians did not see coming and that from now on they will try to explain.
First, participation has dropped significantly. This is probably due to the absence of a real opposition, given that the only two political formations present in the Senate of Selucia currently govern in coalition, so this fact discourages potential voters from going to the polls looking for a government alternative. In this way, participation has dropped from 71.22% to 59.24%, the lowest turnout in decades.
Secondly, the Censor elections, which have pitted the current Consul Hasdrubal Adad against the President of COSIRA Epidia Barbatus, very critical of the government pact with the MTS, has been saved with the victory of the latter by a margin of less than 800,000 votes out of a total of 44 million, obtaining Mrs. Barbatus 50.89% of the total. This result has come as a surprise for COSIRA itself, who since Atilia Valerius' victory in 4832, two decades earlier, have seen defeat after defeat.
Thirdly, the elections to Praetors of the islands have revalidated the immense power that COSIRA has on the island of Oleria, where its current Praetor Ballio Thrasea, although he has also suffered a drop in the number of votes, has revalidated his victory to a new mandate obtaining more than 66% of the votes. Thrasea, who was also very critical of his party's pact with the MTS at the national level, sees his power within the party greatly strengthened, and what is more important: the 99 representatives from Oleria are now much needed. But in addition to the great victory for Thrasea, the other surprise of the night has come from Aquilonia, where COSIRA has achieved the two Praetors by obtaining 51.02% of the votes. The revelation candidate of these elections, Caesia Zosimus, who replaced Severinus Lurco leading the regional federation, is a great defender of Mr. Thrasea's thesis and perhaps most importantly: she defends the limitation of all religions to the private sphere, without exception . This can lead to problems for the governing coalition at the national level, since both parties reached a pact to keep the religious issue in a beneficial status quo for both, which can now blow up if Mrs. Zosimus applies some laws that already has advanced.
Fourth, the national elections have given another surprise: despite the fact that COSIRA has once again become the most voted party, with just over 22 million votes, it was the MTS that, with 21.9 million votes, has won the largest number of seats - 376 versus 374 - largely because of COSIRA's poor performance on the island of Sadaria. In this way, the MTS revalidates its majority in the Chamber by just 1 representative, which will force the voting to be carried to the extreme and take care that all the necessary representatives are present.
After knowing the results, the MTS contacted COSIRA again to revalidate the coalition government once again, and as the statutes mandate, COSIRA again convened its Federal Committee to make the decision. And although there again won the option to govern in coalition with the MTS, a substantial change took place: it was no longer only the two members for Oleria who opposed this coalition, but the two representatives for Aquilonia did the same. And although the result of the vote remained comfortable - 7 favorable versus 4 unfavorable - it implied a change in trend. And above all, it unleashes rumors within the party about the next steps for Ballio Thrasea and Portia Marsyas.
In a joint press conference between Mr. Thrasea and Mrs. Zosimus after knowing the results, both have reaffirmed their opposition to the government pact with the MTS, and have warned their party that together, both federations add up to 250 of the 374 Quirites that COSIRA has obtained, which implies that with the unfavorable vote of both, the majority of this government to approve any international treaty is limited to the necessary 500 Quirites, not one more nor one less.
Mr. Thrasea, who has not wanted to answer the questions about the setback that the Supreme Court of Selucia has given to his government's complaint against Hasdrubal Adad, has preferred to make way this time for the great protagonist of the elections, Caesia Zosimus, which has revealed that among the laws she plans to present as soon as the Aquilonian legislature is inaugurated there are several that could be interpreted as an attack against the religious pacts agreed between the MTS and COSIRA.
From the national leadership, Portia Marsyas has not wanted to make statements about it, and has only recognized that the coalition "has worked well these years" and that she will do what she considers best for the party at the national level.