Hutorian Broadcasting ChannelPower Panel with Simon EvansHost Simon Evans speaking with, then, Minister of Justice Jonathan StoneWith the House of Parliament rising and the end of the 41st Parliament of the Commonwealth upon us, the lead up to next year’s 4694 election have begun. As of right now there are three parties vying for power in Bekenial. This special edition of the Power Panel will discuss the run up for the election and ask critical questions about the parties, their platforms, and what their odds are going into the next election.
We are joined here tonight on the Power Panel by Patrick O’Connell, our resident polling expert, Jake Lexington, Vice President of Strategy with Lex Solutions, a political strategist firm, and Desiree Gardner, a former Royalist MP, Environment Minister and current Chancellor at the Leah Ross College of Political Science. Thank you for joining me.
So first the lay of the land, this was a very interesting Parliament, a Royalist Majority Mandate, which as we know in Hutori are exceedingly rare. Patrick.
Patrick O'Connell: That is indeed correct. We should ignore the fact of course that this was only a two-party race in the last election, so a Majority was going to happen regardless, but only a handful of parties have succeeded in obtaining Majority Mandates in the past several centuries and only one, the Atarxian Confederation succeeded in a multi-Party election. Mind you the AC Government lasted just under a year after they came under constant and never-ending protests for their attempt at dismantling the Hutorian Armed Forces, but the point is ultimately that Hutorians generally don’t do majorities.
Simon Evans: Well were they successful?
Desiree Gardener: By any definition of the word I would say yes. The Prime Minister was able to push through an ambitious agenda, no promises were left unsaid or unheeded, and the Opposition The One Party proved to go along with them most of the time. If anything I would argue that she cruised through this term relatively easily, without needing to be accountable.
Jake Lexington: That’s something I have an issue with. There was no accountability, there was no alternative. The lack of opposition to the Prime Minister’s Agenda meant that some changes were made that not only Hutorians were happy about. The massive overhaul to the Hutorian Health and Education systems, by making the federal government no longer responsible for them, or in the case of Healthcare, effectively privatizing the entire system. There were people that were not happy about it. Which I think is the only reason the National Progress Union has risen, it’s a reaction to the Prime Minister.
Evans: So then let’s turn to the Opposition and this newest Party, the NPU, what are the thoughts?
O’Connell: The One Party, is an evolution from the older Party of National Rebirth. They are actually arguably to the right of the governing Royalists, though they believe in a strong central government, there has been more then once they’ve been accused of being fascist, though they have, while they were in government, always been held in check by more moderate Parties, the Royalists for example or the old Liberal Party. The problem, which is a double edged sword, is that the Royalists, prior to their merging with the Liberals, were always going for the same pool of voters. In the last election, all the formerly left leaning voters either stayed home or voted Royalist to keep the One Party out of power. The National Progress Union on the other appears to be the natural Hutorian political reaction; when there isn’t someone with your voice, you make one.
Lexington: The One Party and this current version of the Royalists are effectively opposite sides of the same coin. The National Progress Union by comparison is giving left leaning Hutorians a real alternative, which I think will see the Royalists punished. After Woodbury and the Liberal Caucus were widely pushed out, the Royalists embraced right wing ideology. With a real left leaning voice, those former Liberals are likely going to go the NPU en masse, which will leave the Royalists stuck between the One and the NPU. Let us not forget either, Hutorian may tolerate Centre-Right coalitions, but there have been more left leaning governments in Hutorian history and generally speaking even right leaning coalition have to have a moderating voice in them.
Gardner: When it was known as the PNR, the One party was indeed always kept in check by the Royalists, specifically the Liberal caucus of the Royalists. The PNR has egg on it’s face more then once after it tried to ram things through Parliament without checking with the Royalists first, and both the Liberal and Conservative caucuses enjoyed reminding them they were in a Coalition not a dictatorship. I think the history of the PNR is exactly why the Royalists obtained the strong majority they did, not just because left leaning voters has no where to go, but they were scared to see what a Party like that would do with a majority. The NPU is still an unproven quantity, though it’s true they are representing the former liberal wing of the Royalists and the former members of the Socialist Front. I know they’ll make an impact, but at this point who can say how big.
Evans: Alright let’s move onto the big picture then. Based on current trends how do we see the election going?
O’Connell: That is indeed the one hundred million Lira question. The Royalists are still polling quite well, they have majorities in every province and will likely hold onto several, but there is 1,000 years of precedence working against them; plain and simple Hutori does not do back to back majorities in multi party elections.
Lexington: Without the Liberal wing supporting the Royalists I think the NPU gets a plurality, and probably wins the Presidency, in which case we'll see a much more active President then in recent years.
Gardner: I think the Royalists can maintain power again, with the One Party supporting a rightist coalition, but their majority I have to admit is a thing of the past.
Evans: Thanks for coming in, we'll be looking forward to the coming election.