Uncertainties abound as Davostan goes to the polls
As the campaign for the 3825 elections enters its final, and possibly decisive phase, analysts fret over what is the most likely outcome. Professor Thomas Peterson of the University of Kevona, a prominent scholar in the fields of political history and sociology, had the following to tell the DNN:
"Well, the elections are quite unpredictable for a number of reasons. First, the incumbent Democratic Libertarian Party (previously CUP) government has shown a very clear preference towards consensus politics and legislative compromise, going to quite some lengths to accomodate the wishes of the opposition in its actions. This is particularly true when it comes to the field of fiscal policy, where the government has relied entirely on the DRCU to pass reforms. What motivated this strategy? Well, for one thing, it has been forced to to a certain extent, it being a minority government. This is perhaps less poignant than in other circumstances, since the DRCU and the Satanilic Republicans hardly comprise a unified front, but is nonetheless a strong source of motivation why cross-party agreement should be sought.
Now, what effects this line of cooperation will have on the electoral results is somewhat hard to discern; on the one hand, voters might be pleased with what by all accounts has been an era of stable government and steady reform, and therefore reward the incumbents, possibly by granting the DLP an absolute majority on its own; on the other, the success of several opposition bills might add to the DRCU's credentials and bring them the reward instead. Another distinct possibility, of course, is that the SRP will benefit by positioning itself as the 'true opposition' to the DLP/DRCU establishment and their compromise politics, punishing one or both of the former parties. If so, we are likely to see a DRCU choosing to remain on the opposition benches for another term and much more antagonism towards the DLP in order to distance itself from an electorally failed approach. The tragedy might be that the reformist progress that has undoubtedly prospered since 3819 might be lost in the process.
However, a caveat is properly inserted here as well: it is certainly not the case that the DLP and the DRCU are all the same, and there has been some high-profile disagreement during the past term on several vital areas; first, we had the DRCU veto constitutional reform over a quarrel concerning the organic laws governing the executive, and then no common ground could be found on the issue of public services, something which sharply divides the parties. If focus is shifted towards this kind of contentious socio-economic policy, we might well see a much more ideologically passionate political debate in the years to come.
If I were to make a prediction, my guess if that the SRP will do well, while I'd be very surprised indeed if the DLP didn't find itself back in office in some constellation or other."