In its most recent report on the performance of the Keymonite economy, observing metrics related to labour productivity, investment, human capital development and the state of infrastructure, the Bank of Keymon concluded that compared to other territories both within Seleya and Artania, the Keymonite economy was “sluggish” and in dire need of a comprehensive fiscal and macroeconomic restructuring. In its quarterly macroeconomic statement, the Bank noted that rising unemployment, coupled with chronic underinvestment in numerous areas of the economy had culminated in an extremely “sticky” situation for the federal government, as it predicted that a further worsening in broader economic performance could potentially give rise to stagflation. Speaking to the broader details surrounding the report, Vice Chairman of the Bank of Keymon, Dr Jean-Claude Steffen noted that labour productivity stood at an all-time low, as underinvestment in much of the systems which existed before now including factory automation, and enhanced performance evaluations have largely been either abandoned or forgotten all together both within the public and private sector. The report’s lament of the state of human capital development within Keymon points to what it has described as “chronic and systemic failures” within the national education system. It notes that although many legacy institutions including the national apprenticeship programme have survived to this day following numerous “destructive” political administrations, many of the courses and programmes offered through the apprenticeship system could easily be considered redundant/unfit for the modern global economy. It noted that its rationale for establishing the global economy as the baseline is grounded in the undeniable fact that as with an interconnected regional and global economy, Keymonite workers will be in direct competition with workers from territories as far as Dovani for lucrative opportunities for meaningful employment. “Although it would be unwise for one to conclude that the national apprenticeship programme has become redundant, it is nonetheless time for a rethink on the programme’s implementation, direction and overall structure,” Dr Steffen said, quoting from the report. The report laments the otherwise non-existent state of core investment throughout the economy, noting that throughout the years, said lack of investment had been becoming increasingly noticeable. Pointing to the economic philosophy shared by numerous SDP administrations wherein public sector investment often outstripped private sector investment, the report noted that this often provided the economy with a “year-round stimulus” from which the private sector could have eventually used as a springboard into much larger/grander projects. According to Dr Steffan, although it would be unwise for the government to advocate for an economic model wherein the state plays a central role within the economy (i.e. a command economy), he emphasised the importance of the government within the economy either as a regulator, an investor of last resort or under the auspices of a state capitalist system.
The Federal Office for Economic Planning and Development, the new government sub-department within the Department of Economic Affairs and Communications notes that the incumbent administration had broad plans for “cantonal” and “sectoral” economic development, noting that it would attempt to enable the cantons: Bremneck, Wiedlismont, Münberg and Kreuzbourg to have greater say on matters of rural economic development and for the nation’s broader economic ambitions to be underpinned by concentrated investment into numerous areas including manufacturing, financial services, research and development etc. Minister of Finance and Economic Development Dr Jean-Claude Hubacher notes that the underpinning of much of these plans for the administration’s decentralised economic development programme was a broad programme of fiscal and macroeconomic reforms. He explained that the macroeconomic underpinning of the Keymonite economy rests solely in the nation’s export-led growth model, wherein the returns (i.e. foreign exchange) accrued from exports were used to (1) bolster the nation’s foreign exchange reserves and (2) reorient investment into the national economy via imports. He reported that there had been considerable debate within the monetary and fiscal policy space within the Department of Finance and Economic Development as to whether a devaluation of the national currency would ultimately lend itself to an improvement in the nation’s export performance. Beyond this, he noted that initial discussions had begun surrounding the use of “selective capital controls”. “Whether we choose to devalue the Keymonite dollar or implement short-term capital controls would ultimately be up to the Monetary Policy Board of the Bank of Keymon,” Dr Hubacher explained. When questioned on whether the federal government intended to move away from Keymon’s export-led growth model, Dr Hubacher stated that such a move would require a major undertaking which would undeniably come at the cost of billions of KED and could weaken the nation’s standing should such a reform programme fail. “I believe that the current export-led growth model is fit for purpose given Keymon’s size and the scale of our domestic industry. Whilst most certainly we could never wish to be on par with the larger economies of the world. We can match and even surpass many, if not all of those states in the efficiency and optimisation of our processes to ensure that although we may not produce as much as them, what we can produce within our means, we do so with a degree of efficiency which lends itself to increased scale.” Dr Hubacher said.
“Sectoral development”, according to Minister of Economic Affairs and Communications Dr Barbara Geissbühler, involves strategic/pinpoint investments into sectors of the economy where Keymon (1) maintains or believes it can maintain a competitive edge against other territories and (2) can leverage its pre-existing knowledge in an area adjacent to the sector in question. From agriculture and biodiversity to advanced manufacturing and chemicals production, sectoral development would undoubtedly place greater emphasis on developing these sectors into vibrant, world-class contributors to Keymon’s economic growth and development. At the forefront of many of these projects would undoubtedly be the National Land Credit Institute - Nationales Landkreditinstitut (NLK). A restructuring of much of the governance surrounding many of the nation’s legacy state enterprises including Brennstoff (the state-owned oil and gas company), Dr Geissbühler noted, could lend itself to an improvement in national economic performance. Both Dr Geissbühler and Minister of Commerce and Industry Giordano Salvini reiterated the government’s policy that although it maintains that the government must play a role in the economy, it does not envision its direct involvement in every sector. “There is no need for a state-owned chemicals production company in the same manner that there is no need for a state-owned haberdashery or antiques company,” Minister Salvini concluded. Discussions are reportedly underway for reforms to Keymon’s financial service sector, with a focus on improving and granting smaller financial institutions much-needed wiggle room to obtain economies of scale, recognising the size and relative market power of Credit Klavia. Principal among these reforms includes a recommitment to establish Keymon as a premier financial services hub in both Artania and Seleya. Dr Hubacher has noted that in re-establishing Keymon as a global financial centre, much of the administration of the sector would be transferred to an entity independent, yet connected to the Department of Finance and Economic Development. The new arrangement would see the Canton of Münberg manage the sector’s affairs alongside the Federal Office for Financial Services and Public Credit.