2968 Election Analysis National Results:DSPB and House of H.E.F. Yišsérles: 35 (+12)
-Pickups: 5 from CIP, 7 from BNR
-Losses: none
Christian Imperial Party: 16 (-19)
-Pickups: none
-Losses: 5 to DSPB, 12 to CZP, 2 to RUBP
Christian Zionist Party / Notzri Tzionut: 12 (+12)
-Pickups: 12 from CIP
-Losses: none
Bismarckian National Resistance (BNR): 9 (-8)
-Pickups: none
-Losses: 7 to DSPB, 1 to RUBP
Rock-U-Bot Party: 3 (new party)
-Pickups: 2 from CIP, 1 from BNR
-Losses: none
National Analysis: DSPB Landslide Victory!With even a cursory look at the election results it clear that the DSPB has won a massive victory. They have managed to build a coalition of center leftist, Jews and socialists that rivals the Christian Imperial Party's coalition from the last election. The DSPB opposition to all of the CIP bill in the last session has lead to them being viewed as the anti-CIP party and that was the focus of its election campaign. And that is playing well at the moment. More leftist members of the DSPB are announcing the utter defeat of the CIP radical religious policies and the right wing in general. The DSPB made inroads in traditionally CIP and BNR territory. By advancing a "Jewish" agenda combined with their economic policy they have won over many rural areas from the CIP. They have also advanced into the suburbs formerly controlled by the BNR.
For the CIP the election has been a repudiation of its policies, as well as its relatively lack of accomplishing anything while in the government. Its campaign of religious values and fundamentalism appears to have fallen on deaf ears. With the right wing vote split between the Christian Zionist Party, Rock-U-Bot Party and the CIP and the religious vote now being split by the CIP, CZP and DSPB and their massive defeat moral at the CIP is at an all time low. This coupled with the failing health of the party's 83 year old founder and current leader Richard Lee radical changes appear on the horizon for the party. Whether that is towards moderation or violence will depend on the next leader.
The Christian Zionist Party has been reformed and has come back with vengeance. Gaining two seats from its pre-collapse total. The party campaigned as the pro-Jewish center right CIP alternative. Many religious and right leaning voters were appealed to by these relative moderate stances and deserted the CIP. Though at a post CIP peak the CZP is being ripped apart from the inside. With one faction wanting to break away from the Luthuri Empire and another advocating loyalty. Like the CIP the CZP stands at a critical fork and its decision could heavily impact policy in the Commonwealth.
The Bismarckian National Resistance contained to run on its policy moderation and centrism; sometimes working with the CIP and with the DSPB. This allowed them to play an important role in the last session but the voters appear to have turned away from them. There is also a taint of being too friendly with the radical CIP turning off some of their traditional voters to the DSPB. The BNR seat count is at an all time low after fairing the worst of the main parties in the last election. Some members of the far left and right are claiming this is final defeat of moderation in the Commonwealth, though this is still left to be seen. There are calls by some in the party for the BNR to change policy, but to what no one knows
Lastly the election saw the emergence of another rightwing party in the Rock-U-Bot Party. Though the party has yet to gain traction with many voters and at this point remains a minor party. It remains a largely a regional party in the Quo'gun State. The party's campaign message was muddled and what exactly they stand for is unclear. With a more defined platform the party may grow to match or exceed the BNR.
The landscape in the Commonwealth has taken a dramatic turn. It's hard to deny that there is a definite swing to the left. Though it could be explained by an extremely divided right wing vote and a monolithic left wing vote. However this fails to explain the many seats the DSPB won from the centrist BNR. It could also be explained by the religious moves of the DSPB. Whether this election marks the end of the right or a setback for them will only be seen in future elections.
State Elections Endild State: Solid DSBPGray: Christian Imperial Party
Orange: DSPB and House of H.E.F. Yišsérles
Yellow: Bismarckian National Resistance (BNR)
Blue: Christian Zionist Party / Notzri Tzionut
Green: Rock-U-Bot Party
2: Antzarhe
3: Yishalem
4: Givat Aliyah
Results:DSPB and House of H.E.F. Yišsérles: 7 (+2)
-Pickups: 2 from CIP
-Losses: none
Christian Zionist Party / Notzri Tzionut: 4 (+4)
-Pickups: 4 from CIP
-Losses: none
Christian Imperial Party: 3 (-6)
-Pickups none
Losses: 2 to DSPB, 4 to CZP
Bismarckian National Resistance (BNR): 3 (+/-0)
-Pickups: none
-Losses: none
Rock-U-Bot Party: 0 (new party)
-Pickups: none
-Losses: none
Analysis:A resurgent CZP makes its most powerful showing in the state of Endild capturing over half of the CIP's former seats. The CZP demonstrated that not only could it be a clear alternative for the Christians of the Commonwealth, but it can surpass the CIP. The BNR managed to hold onto its seats in this state as the CIP suffers a horrible defeat.
Fruskila State: DSPB Country Gray: Christian Imperial Party
Orange: DSPB and House of H.E.F. Yišsérles
Yellow: Bismarckian National Resistance (BNR)
Blue: Christian Zionist Party / Notzri Tzionut
Green: Rock-U-Bot Party
1: Moatsheba
2: Gush Gadid
3: Shaar HaNegev
4: Trachimbrod
Results:DSPB and House of H.E.F. Yišsérles: 8 (+3)
-Pickups: 1 from CIP, 2 from BNR
-Losses: none
Christian Imperial Party: 3 (-4)
-Pickups: none
-Losses: 2 to CZP, 1 to BSPB, 1 to RUBP
Bismarckian National Resistance (BNR): 3 (-2)
-Pickups: none
-Losses: 2 to DSPB
Christian Zionist Party / Notzri Tzionut: 2 (+2)
-Pickups: 2 from CIP
-Losses: none
Rock-U-Bot Party: 1 (new party)
-Pickups: 1 from CIP
-Losses: none
Analysis: The CIP suffers a major defeat in the state bleeding seats to the DSPB, the CZP and the RUBP. Arguable the worst defeat for them in this election because the CIP couldn't compete with the left or the worst in the state.
Padrilka State: DSPB CountryGray: Christian Imperial Party
Orange: DSPB and House of H.E.F. Yišsérles
Yellow: Bismarckian National Resistance (BNR)
Blue: Christian Zionist Party / Notzri Tzionut
Green: Rock-U-Bot Party
1: Beth Haccherem
2: Tel Peel
3: Kiryas Ya'akov
4: Gan Kofim
Results:DSPB and House of H.E.F. Yišsérles: 10 (+5)
-Pickups: 1 from CIP, 4 from BNR
-Losses: none
Christian Imperial Party: 4 (-2)
-Pickups: none
-Losses: 1 to CZP, 1 to DSBP
Bismarckian National Resistance (BNR): 1 (-4)
-Pickups: none
-Losses: 4 to DSPB
Christian Zionist Party / Notzri Tzionut: 1 (+1)
-Pickups: 1 from CIP
-Losses: none
Rock-U-Bot Party: 0 (new party)
-Pickups: none
-Losses: none
Analysis: Liberal Padrilka to no real surprise gave the DSPB its greatest victory. The surprise does come from the fact the majority of the DSPB gains came not at the expense of the CIP, who lost only a couple seats, but at the expense of the BNR. The BNR has collapsed in the province becoming a minor party in the state. The CZP was not well received in the state only managing to acquire one seat.
Tadraki State: Battleground Gray: Christian Imperial Party
Orange: DSPB and House of H.E.F. Yišsérles
Yellow: Bismarckian National Resistance (BNR)
Blue: Christian Zionist Party / Notzri Tzionut
Green: Rock-U-Bot Party
1: Kiryas Ne'eman
2: Y'seah
3: Ir Shalom
4: Nantashem
Results:DSPB and House of H.E.F. Yišsérles: 5 (+2)
-Pickups: 1 from CIP, 1 from BNR
-Losses: none
Christian Imperial Party: 5 (-5)
-Pickups: none
-Losses: 4 to CZP, 1 to DSPB
Christian Zionist Party / Notzri Tzionut: 4 (+4)
-Pickups: 4 from CIP
-Losses: none
Bismarckian National Resistance (BNR): 1 (-1)
-Pickups: none
-Losses: 1 to DSPB
Rock-U-Bot Party: 0 (new party)
-Pickups: none
-Losses: none
Analysis:Even in the CIP stronghold of Tadraki the DSPB tide couldn't be halted. The CIP support has collapsed to shell of itself. The CZP performed well in the state capturing most of the CIP's deserting voters. The BNR has been reduced to minor party in the provinces only hanging onto one vote.
Quo'gun State: DSPB CountryGray: Christian Imperial Party
Orange: DSPB and House of H.E.F. Yišsérles
Yellow: Bismarckian National Resistance (BNR)
Blue: Christian Zionist Party / Notzri Tzionut
Green: Rock-U-Bot Party
1: Moatsheba
2: Gush Gadid
3: Shaar HaNegev
4: Trachimbrod
Results: DSPB and House of H.E.F. Yišsérles: 5 (+/-0)
-Pickups: none
-Losses: none
Rock-U-Bot Party: 2 (new party)
-Pickups: 1 from CIP, 1 from BNR
-Losses: none
Bismarckian National Resistance (BNR): 1 (-1)
-Pickups: none
-Losses: 1 to RUBP
Christian Imperial Party: 1 (-2)
-Pickups: 1 to CZP, 1 to RUBP
-Losses: none
Christian Zionist Party / Notzri Tzionut: 1 (+1)
-Pickups: 1 from CIP
-Losses: none
Analysis: Ironically the only state not to vote for the CIP in the last election Quo'gun is the only state in this election to not give any more seats to the DSPB. In fact their vote total dropped by over 6 percent. The RUBP preformed the best in this state managing to win two seats (2/3 of its total seats value). The RUBP managed only in Quo'gun to defeat every major party except the DSPB.
Aftermath:The current Center-Right Coalition between the CIP and BNR is bound to collapse after suffering a combined seat loss of 27 seats. However the DSPB fell short of the 38 seats needed to form a government outright. The current climate in the Commonwealth is rife for coalition haggling. Here is a list of coalition listed by likelihood.
Center-left Coalition: A coalition of DSPB and BNR. Traditional allies who took down the CIP's rule together a coalition could hold up between the two as long as the DSPB doesn't push a truly leftist agenda.
Jewish Coalition: A coalition of the DSPB and the CZP. The DSPB has had a recent streak in it to enshrine Jewishness in the laws of the Commonwealth. The hybrid Jewish/Christian CZP would be a naturally ally in this endeavor.
Loyalist Coalition: A coalition between the DSPB, BNR and the CIP. All parties strangely loyal to the empire, but it is unlikely that the their loyalty to the empire that could overcome their divergent political views.
Center-right Coalition: A Coalition between the CZP, BNR, CIP and RUBP. Though the parties have at least somewhat similar platforms the coalition would be inherently unstable. The sheer number of parties would inevitably lead to infighting.
OOC: Had to restructure some of the districts and locations of the cities due to an earlier map the CZP gave me. Sorry for the tardiness.