What were the consequences of the "Hubris War" on Luthori? ~ Dr. Joseph BlanknekWe may ask to ourselves this question all over again, what were the true and real consequences of the Yeudi-Lourennais War or, as it was called first by the Yingdalans, the "Hubris War". This conflict between the two's most powerful nations at this time - Beiteynu and Lourenne, this conflict was mainly fought on sea, with both nation's navies being at the forefront of the War, while both nation's armies were staying at retreat. During this war - which is today said to be a Lourennais victory - the Luthorian trade network effectively collapsed - political instability and government incoherence was something that came out of Luthori, the economy collapsed, while at the same time - other nation rose in prominence by showing more coherent leadership and a more careful diplomacy. We'll look at what are the consequences of the Hubris War on the Luthorian Empire.
Economic Aftermath of the WarIf we want to talk about the Hubris War's consequences on Luthori - we need first to speak of the first aspect that has been hit, the economic aspect of Luthori. The Luthorian economy was - honestly speaking - going through a stagnation period. According to the Vandam Economic Report of
5453 and
5463 - so during the Pre-War Era, in 10 years, the Luthorian GDP has barely moved from LFR 4.6 trillions (LPD (£) 3.04 trillions), to LFR 4.96 trillion (£3.25 trillions), a result in GDP, so far, yet so close of having breached through the LFR 5 trillions glass wall of the Luthorian economy. Yet - ever since its inception, the Vandam Economic Report reported two flaws in Luthori's economic success - the first was the problem of political instability. That problem comes from a lack of understanding between Parliament's objectives and the government's objectives - which undoubtely creates political mismanagement of the economy. According to some economists - another problem comes from the government's involvement in the economy and for others, it's the opposite, but I'm not going to enter this economic debate as for now. The other weakness that is being continously reported on by the Vandam Economic Report is the "Weak Competition" part, this is present in the
5433 economic report, the
5443 economic report, the
5453 one, the
5463 one and even the
most recent report stated that this problem is still an issue to this day. Even though, the Luthori Employers Association ended its policy of "Pro-Luthorian business" back in
5401, during Prime Minister Asters' Ministry. Since then, in theory, any foreign business is welcome in Luthori - yet, the ghost of the LEA's lobbying (in light with the
recent Senate scandal) is still a brake in the development of foreign companies into the country. Yet, today - it seems that the government
finally understood something about dealing with this problem, with the passage of the Model Treaty, which if signed, would make all Luthorian and X countries companies be considered as being nationals by governments of both signatory countries, so making their possibility of integrating themselves into the complex Luthorian economic system much, much more easier.
Yet, here we are talking about the economic aftermath of the war. Well, honestly, this comes from the Government's weird decisions in regards to the Yeudi-Canrillaise Crisis - then War. Luthori had a big disadvantage in this crisis - first, it was linked with Beiteynu through the
Monarch's person and an alliance agreement between the two nations. We shouldn't also forget the numerous trade routes that exists between Mainland Luthori and the Yeudi State, it was said that 14,7 % of all Luthori trade goes to Beiteynu. So - the outbreak of the war and its economic ramification to Beiteynu sure did a lot of consequences on Luthorian trade and - then, in the Luthorian economy. The other issue that Luthori had was its "sort-of" alliance with Lourenne, people considered that Luthori & Lourenne were just misunderstanding each other's issues and concerns and needed a big straight up talk about their relationship - that was the goal of the Rottingham Conference, yet, as of now, the Conference was postponed in the wake of the outbreak of the war by both parties - in a mutual agreement - that's what Crown Street told us at least. Luthori's trade with Lourenne was also big, representing 13.2 % of all Luthorian exports and 14 % of all Luthorian imports, and the outbreak of the war gave a crippling blow to the economy. That blow came with the
collapse of the Fort William Stock Exchange - opening an economic crisis now known as the "Albertan Economic Crisis" ~ (in reference to the Albertan Era of Luthori, where the Emperor is named Albert) - well that forcasted collapse that never happened - the FWSE just entered a case of it dropping. Another blow was dealt to the economy when Kundrati's
Kasaema Stock Exchange also collapsed, throwing Luthori into economic disarray.
One of Luthori's biggest advantages, its extensive trade network which helped bringing riches to the Homeland, just became its worse enemy. Honestly, here, the previous Government
put in place a policy of economic investments into the economy - in order to do damage control and keep what can be salvagable. With the changes of governance in Crown Street - it remains to be seen whether or not this policy will hold or not. For now, it's likely that a "Second Lost Decades" is how this 40-years period will be remembered, with weak leadership, weak economic progress and weak diplomatic response to help balancing all of this.
Worse - this period of "Lost Decades" can easily be continued by any following governments or even the current - should its style do not contribute on Luthori quitting the "shit zone" in which she has been sleeping for far too long. But, alas, as the Lourennais says:
"Luthorians always make the first good steps, but always blunder on the second steps and so on..."Speaking of diplomacy.
Luthorian Diplomatic BlunderYou see - the Derby Premiership will be remembered for a lot of things - its first part will be remembered for its
attempt at making Parliament be more involved in daily decision making process - in the foreign policy realm with the passing of the Model Treaty model bill. Its second part will be undoubtely remembered for the diplomatic blunder and its handling of the "Hubris War" between the Homeland State of Beiteynu and the United Kingdom of Lourenne. Since the outbreak of the war, with the Third Azhara being sent off to Lourenne and the
clashes of Beiteynuese and Lourennais ships in the Sea of Lost Souls. Luthori called openly for peace since the first day, yet, at the outbreak of the war - silence from Fort William. Nothing came out, and nothing will come out about the beginning of the war. Except when it came, the Prime Minister made a speech in the Conservative Party's Annual Conference calling this war "an opportunity" for Luthori to "reaches" new heights in terms of power by taking over as a 3rd reasonable power - yet, some days later, the FWSE collapsed and all plans were thrown into the trash as soon as the government had realized the magnetude of the crisis, taking drastic measures to save the economy - well trying to save it - - and not focusing it self on the foreign policy realm except on the part to give a piece of Luthori's mind to Kundrati for its "un-Artanian" actions according to the Foreign Office. Yet even though, Luthori did nothing in the foreign policy realm except calling for peace - something that will piss Yishelem off (for some reasons that I'll try explaining later). Yet, it came, one fateful day,
Kundrati intervened - and the Luthorian Prime Minister, was...livid, immediately afterwards,
Luthori sent a note to Kundrati saying two words: "Back off". While immediately afterwards, what was seen was a big conflagration of the conflict,
Davostag threatened with war,
NEK did the same and
Dolgava announced partial mobilization. This ultimatum revealed just a little problem - only Dundorf beneficated from this,
by calling for peace and reason between both parties, and by continuing its continued support to Lourenne, thanks to this, their campaign for the Seat A of the Security Council - seat that Luthori currently holds, see much more success. [The Seat A and Luthori's complicated relationship will be talked upon in the thesis of my colleague at the Imperial Academy, Georg Brassner.]
What I can say, seeing Luthori's gradual shift from Lourenne & Beiteynu to form its own bloc, alongside the currently Luthori-dominated Commonwealth, through the Northern Security Treaty Organization, that many people, as well as me, are seeing as the recreation of the Northern Council - something that some colleagues and many, many members of the Imperial Government are not liking this comparaison [An essay about the NSTO and what does it show of Luthori's gradual realignment will be done by my colleague at the University of Alchester, Dr. Emily Underwood]. I can safely say that the Luthorian economic recovery and the diplomatic recovery, are going to need a work in tandem with both private and the public, a work in tandem, between the government and the opposition. Without that and a strong leadership, nothing will come out and Luthori will be condemned by staying an irreleveant, not constructive member of the world stage for the decades to come. Of course, this transition must come smoothly, not just like that in a bang, yet with the arrival of a Labour-LNG government in Crown Street, it's likely that more collaboration between Darlington and Crown Street -
especially with the election of Mr. Meyer as Chairman of the Foreign Committee - would be seen.
With it, I'm going to end this thesis, while it's just a excerpt of what I've given to the school and that real thesis is now accessible to you in the archives. Thank you for reading, thank you for your attention.
Joseph Edward Blanknek, Professor and Searchor at the University of Fort William.