Alain Delors wrote:The NDP is now at 39 percent, as of August 2. The Tories are behind with 28%. Looks like Harper might be in trouble, but the poll could very well be an outlier. On July 21 there was a similar shock poll where the Conservatives got 38% and also had an 11% lead, with the striking difference that the August 2 survey has a sample of 1,399 whereas the one where the Tories lead questioned 5,147. So I guess it's still neck-and-neck.
Siggon Kristov wrote:Alain Delors wrote:The NDP is now at 39 percent, as of August 2. The Tories are behind with 28%. Looks like Harper might be in trouble, but the poll could very well be an outlier. On July 21 there was a similar shock poll where the Conservatives got 38% and also had an 11% lead, with the striking difference that the August 2 survey has a sample of 1,399 whereas the one where the Tories lead questioned 5,147. So I guess it's still neck-and-neck.
I'm interested in knowing the number of seats that each party is likely to win. A nationwide poll can give a rough estimate, but it's not really that helpful. Do they have constituency-based polls that are consolidated into a nationwide seat estimate?
Not to my knowledge. There are a few sites that translate polling shares into seat projections though. There's a good one on the CBC, which can be found here.Siggon Kristov wrote:I'm interested in knowing the number of seats that each party is likely to win. A nationwide poll can give a rough estimate, but it's not really that helpful. Do they have constituency-based polls that are consolidated into a nationwide seat estimate?
I'm interested in knowing the number of seats that each party is likely to win. A nationwide poll can give a rough estimate, but it's not really that helpful. Do they have constituency-based polls that are consolidated into a nationwide seat estimate?
No, people in Particracy just don't have the same opinions as the Canadian population, apparently. Why do you always have to attribute things to people being misinformed or irrational?Darkylightytwo wrote:When I see, 52% conservative, this is proof that people playing Particracy are not so much update with the electoral culture in Canada
I was not saying that Harper was the best option (although while we're on this topic I might as well say that that is my view), I was merely saying that it was mistaken to attribute the view of the Particracy community to any lack of familiarity with the Canadian political scene. Certainly in my case that is not so - I read Canadian news on the daily basis, for whatever reason.Darkylightytwo wrote:Fail to see what legitimate reason there is to vote for him....
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