EEL123 wrote:Personally my view is that there will most likely be a Liberal minority government
I see that a Liberal Minority government could definitely be possible seeing that they are led by the young inexperienced Trudeau, the only reason why he is so popular is because is father was a famous Canadian politician and was Prime Minister through the 60's and the 70's he was Liberal just like his son.
EEL123 wrote:there is a small chance of a Conservative minority government
I think that there is a chance for this to happen, the Conservatives will most likely hold off the west, the Liberals will win Quebec, and it will be 50/50 in Ontario. If this happens the a Conservatives could keep receive a minority if the New Democrats don't loose to much (I project they will loose about 50-60 seats) but if they loose 50-40 the conservatives will most likely pull off a minority.
EEL123 wrote:if I were Canadian I would grit my teeth and reluctantly vote for Harper
Yes same with me if there were a better option I would not vote Harper, but there really isn't i don't not think Trudeau can handle being Prime Minister and the NDP are too left for me as well (and are too left for most of Canada), they have moved closer to the centre in closer years agreeing to some privatization of the economy, and no to the legalization of drugs. This is the first time the NDP have been in the opposition spot, since the creation of the party in the 60's.
EEL123 wrote:or of a Liberal-New Democrat coalition if the Liberals don't have the numbers to form government (minority or majority)
In my opinion a coalition will not happen in Canada on a federal level, unlike British & Australian politics where coalitions are not an unusual sight in Canada they are much more rare. There has never been a coalition on the Federal level and the provincial one I have heard of was a Liberal-Democrat coalition in the early 2000's to end conservative reign. I bet there have to be more provincial ones but too many more, in Canada politicians are very stubborn and believe their party is
above all parties. I personally don't see a coalition happening.
EEL123 wrote:(Here in Australia, the last two governments led by a Prime Minister without previous ministerial experience - the Whitlam and Rudd governments - were train wrecks.) And the NDP is much too left-wing.
Yes that is why I do not want Trudeau in because someone with no political experience will end up trashing the whole term and put the country into a downward spiral. You current government is a Liberal-National coalition right?
I see a conservative or Liberal minority the conservatives and the NDP will definitely loose seats and I'm just going to go on the topic of the greens, I think they will gain a few seats.